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Old 12-12-2007, 11:59 AM   #16 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by superdude View Post
we arent supposed to anymore, mainly northern locations.
not true at all.
nothing will be said until they know.. the fact of the matter is, they don't...

some models say a little snow, a little rain... some say more snow.

west and north is easy to predict... but the I-95 corridor is very hard at this point.. it all depends on where the low sits... if it's out in the ocean -- it's all snow.. if it sits on top of us.. very little....

we won't really know much at all until friday.

here is today's map:

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Old 12-12-2007, 12:38 PM   #17 (permalink)
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You got your storm supplies together yet?
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Old 12-12-2007, 12:39 PM   #18 (permalink)
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BTW Mike I think the storm is because God is angry at you for not putting up more Christmas lights. If you have more than the Griswolds you could just flick the switch on and vaporize the storm.
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Old 12-12-2007, 01:12 PM   #19 (permalink)
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We are supposd to get hit with 3-6 inches tomorrow and again on Saturday...
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Old 12-12-2007, 01:38 PM   #20 (permalink)
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We are supposd to get hit with 3-6 inches tomorrow and again on Saturday...
where do you live? that's probably not even counting sunday....
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Old 12-12-2007, 01:41 PM   #21 (permalink)
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BTW Mike I think the storm is because God is angry at you for not putting up more Christmas lights. If you have more than the Griswolds you could just flick the switch on and vaporize the storm.
i'll do more next year... this year was just a "trial run"
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Old 12-12-2007, 01:49 PM   #22 (permalink)
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I saw something on the morning news today that some kid in Conneticut (?) had set up his lights to blink in time with music being played. It also will react to sounds like passing cars.
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Old 12-12-2007, 02:52 PM   #23 (permalink)
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ok see the problem with local forcasters is that they let the models run and go off of that... they dont think about the reality of what's going on behind the scenes and then people wonder why they are wrong....

here is the latest:

Quote:
Afternoon SuperStorm Comments
Wednesday, December 12, 2007
LATEST MODEL RUNS CONTINUE ON TRACK WITH THE STORM....BIG SNOWS START IN ARKANSAS OZARKS AND HEAD NORTHEAST.....


Part of the problem with the storm will be the initial problem with the storm and how the models are handling the storm is how far north will the primary low go west of the Appalachians. I image below is of the GFS run at 12z today or 7am which shows the primary low going fairly far north west of the Appalachians, and the secondary taking over along the North Carolina coast. I think the GFS is pushing the primary low too far north on the latest runs and that the secondary will take over rather quickly along the coast. Once the secondary does go, the pressures will drop rapidly and be a sub 990 mb low prior to reaching the Maryland beaches. I think the tropical moisture from Olga getting entrained into the storm and the negative tilt of the trough digging in from the northwest will cause the low to develop much quicker and stronger than what the models are indicated. The implications of that are a change over to snow or change back to snow in the I-95 corridor and the potential for near blizzard conditions developing from south-central PA and moving northeast into New York state.


I am really impressed with the meteorological potential of this storm, especially from PA into Maine where falling temps and a quickening wind will create nasty conditions for a 6-10 hour period during the height of the storm. It's not out of the question that nasty conditions get into eastern PA all the way into parts of New England as the wrap around comes in. I also want to add that in the Ozarks through the Bootheal of Missouri and up to Dayto, a quick 6 inches of snow with thunder is possible. Speaking of thunder, I will not be surprised to see thundersnows developing along the I-95 corridor as the pressures fall through the roof.
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Old 12-12-2007, 02:55 PM   #24 (permalink)
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but i will say... anyone west/north of the I-95 corridor... plan for something big... it's pretty definite for you
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Old 12-12-2007, 03:19 PM   #25 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by msb3079 View Post
ok see the problem with local forcasters is that they let the models run and go off of that... they dont think about the reality of what's going on behind the scenes and then people wonder why they are wrong....

here is the latest:
Most of the guys you see on tv are not the best and brightest of the class. I went to school with a kid who never bought a book, now he's on tv. Another kid used to pop up and scream in your face, he's also on tv. If I learned nothing else in college, I certainly learned why many people think meteorologists are full of crap!
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Old 12-12-2007, 03:24 PM   #26 (permalink)
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Most of the guys you see on tv are not the best and brightest of the class. I went to school with a kid who never bought a book, now he's on tv. Another kid used to pop up and scream in your face, he's also on tv. If I learned nothing else in college, I certainly learned why many people think meteorologists are full of crap!
yep yep and yep.
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Old 12-12-2007, 03:48 PM   #27 (permalink)
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I still say we get nothing Mike
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Old 12-12-2007, 04:02 PM   #28 (permalink)
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I still say we get nothing Mike
you might be right, you might be wrong....
noone knows yet...

if the low is inland... we would get a few inches sat night... a ton of rain early sunday then more snow sunday day...
if the low goes more east (which is what the experts are leaning toward) then we're looking at ALL SNOW.... 6-12 inches.

time will tell. won't really know until friday after this system is gone tomorrow.... tomorrow could be pretty nasty in a bunch of places too.
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Old 12-12-2007, 04:43 PM   #29 (permalink)
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Why are you fascinated with this msb? Are you planning on becoming a weather man?
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Old 12-12-2007, 04:54 PM   #30 (permalink)
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Tomorrow is gonna suck too. I hate this weather
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